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June 5, 2010 A Coffee Break With... 1 Comment

House prices, Rent prices and market direction in Italy

Short term predictions about asset prices (houses, stocks, commodities) are inherently based on rumour and emotion. Predicting for the long term however, must be based on fundamental analysis.

CIN043 251x300 A Coffee Break With... Keith, 4

Source - the economist

And Italy is (surprisingly to most) fundamentally very strong. The amount of Mortgage debt to GDP is vastly superior in Italy (20%) than Switzerland (130%), Denmark (98%), Britain (80%) and US (75%)

Although National debt is high, private debt is not. Next time a visitor complains about “the cash society” of Italy… think twice about whether Italy is backward or far advanced!

(Source Morgan-Stanley/the economist – 2006. Old but probably percentages are still similar today.)

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